Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Kansas 100.0%   1   27 - 3 17 - 1 27 - 3 17 - 1 +20.7      +9.4 7 +11.3 2 67.4 226 +23.2 1 +27.1 1
5 Baylor 100.0%   1   26 - 4 15 - 3 26 - 4 15 - 3 +17.3      +7.8 17 +9.5 5 64.8 287 +20.6 3 +20.9 2
14 West Virginia 100.0%   5   21 - 10 9 - 9 21 - 10 9 - 9 +14.4      +4.2 66 +10.2 3 71.6 103 +13.3 25 +11.0 6
17 Texas Tech 58.3%   11   18 - 13 9 - 9 18 - 13 9 - 9 +13.9      +5.5 44 +8.4 6 67.1 234 +10.0 49 +11.1 5
37 Oklahoma 92.1%   9   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +11.1      +4.4 62 +6.7 27 72.3 84 +12.2 31 +11.4 4
49 Oklahoma St. 12.9%   18 - 14 7 - 11 18 - 14 7 - 11 +9.4      +4.0 69 +5.5 47 68.9 177 +10.3 44 +8.7 8
62 Texas 50.1%   11   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +8.3      +1.4 144 +6.9 26 64.3 296 +11.3 36 +11.8 3
76 TCU 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 11 15 - 16 7 - 11 +6.8      +2.5 107 +4.3 65 62.6 325 +7.0 77 +9.0 7
79 Kansas St. 0.0%   11 - 21 3 - 15 11 - 21 3 - 15 +6.6      +0.5 171 +6.1 35 66.3 251 +3.3 123 +2.0 10
81 Iowa St. 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 13 12 - 20 5 - 13 +6.5      +5.4 45 +1.1 139 72.2 86 +5.1 100 +5.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Baylor 2.0 100.0
West Virginia 3.0 100.0
Texas Tech 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 7.0 100.0
Texas 3.0 100.0
TCU 7.0 100.0
Kansas St. 10.0 100.0
Iowa St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 17 - 1 100.0
Baylor 15 - 3 100.0
West Virginia 9 - 9 100.0
Texas Tech 9 - 9 100.0
Oklahoma 9 - 9 100.0
Oklahoma St. 7 - 11 100.0
Texas 9 - 9 100.0
TCU 7 - 11 100.0
Kansas St. 3 - 15 100.0
Iowa St. 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Baylor
West Virginia
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Oklahoma St.
Texas
TCU
Kansas St.
Iowa St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   95.1 4.9 0.0
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   67.4 31.6 1.0 100.0%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 1.1 12.9 47.5 34.1 4.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 58.3% 0.0% 58.3% 11   0.1 0.3 2.2 3.9 14.0 32.4 5.5 41.7 58.3%
Oklahoma 92.1% 0.0% 92.1% 9   0.0 0.8 8.0 31.5 35.8 14.6 1.3 7.9 92.1%
Oklahoma St. 12.9% 0.0% 12.9% 0.0 4.2 8.7 87.1 12.9%
Texas 50.1% 0.0% 50.1% 11   0.0 0.7 4.4 14.6 28.2 2.1 49.9 50.1%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.1% 80.4% 62.4% 45.2% 31.3% 21.5%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.0% 67.8% 43.7% 25.8% 14.0% 7.5%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 74.4% 41.6% 18.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.8%
Texas Tech 58.3% 30.8% 47.8% 26.6% 13.0% 6.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Oklahoma 92.1% 0.4% 91.8% 45.8% 12.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Oklahoma St. 12.9% 12.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas 50.1% 22.5% 37.5% 12.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 5.1 0.9 18.7 48.6 29.6 2.2
1st Round 100.0% 4.8 1.8 31.2 49.4 17.0 0.7
2nd Round 100.0% 3.5 0.6 10.1 37.5 38.5 12.5 0.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 97.9% 2.2 2.1 18.6 43.1 30.0 5.7 0.5
Elite Eight 87.0% 1.4 13.0 44.1 35.7 6.8 0.5 0.0
Final Four 66.9% 0.9 33.1 49.3 16.6 1.0
Final Game 47.3% 0.5 52.7 43.1 4.2
Champion 31.7% 0.3 68.3 31.7